EIA Predictions to 2040: The US is not even close to an energy revolution
In 2040, coal will remain the main source of energy in the USA and renewable will make little progress.
In 2040, Coal will still represent 35% of all American sources of energy, down from 40% today. Natural gas will represent to 30% vs. 25% in 2010 and renewable energies will account for 16% only of the US sources of energy in 2040, against 13% today. The most significant changes predicted by the EIA are in the energy sourcing. A bigger quantity of oil will be extracted domestically.
Thanks to the “advent of advent and continuing improvement of advanced crude oil production technologies”, in the next ten years in particular as oil producers will tackle the low hanging fruit in priority. As the same time, use of natural gas will continue to increase. Some of the consequences of the boost in natural gas are lower CO2 emission. The EIA predicts that the US gas emission will be 5% lower in 2040 that it was in 2005. Not bad but unfortunately not enough to significant contribute to a slowdown in global warming.